Download Precision: Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Horse Racing, by C X Wong
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Precision: Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Horse Racing, by C X Wong
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"Precision ... Statistical and Mathematical Methods in Horse Racing" thoroughly discusses the mathematical and statistical methods in handicapping and betting techniques. Differentiations, combinatorics, normal distribution, kernel smoothing and other mathematical and statistical tools are introduced. The jargons and equations are kept to a minimum so that it is easy to understand for most readers. More than 20 professional programs are freely available to download, which can allow readers to easily apply the methodology introduced in the book.
This book can be divided into three main parts: horse handicapping (Chapters 2-6), wagering (Chapters 7-9) and theories in practices (Chapters 10-11). Chapter 1 will explain why long term gains are possible in horse racing. About horse handicapping, we will start with analysing racing forms in Chapter 2. Other handicapping factors such as weight carried, jockeys, trainers and pedigrees will be discussed in Chapter 3. Some advanced statistical methods, such as chi-square test and kernel smoothing, will be introduced in Chapter 4 to further analyse those handicapping factors discussed in previous chapters. The following two chapters are about probability estimations. In Chapter 5, normal distribution and multinominal logistic regression are introduced in estimating winning probability of each race horse. In Chapter 6, we will talk about some methods in misconceptions in estimating placed probability.
Two main concepts in wagering, Kelly criterion and hedging, will be discussed in Chapters 7 and 8. To hit exotic pools, those theories in combinatorics in Chapter 9 will definitely help the readers. The author will share his experiences in betting syndicate in Chapter 10, and tell you how to be a successful professional horseplayer in the last Chapter.
Some readers may find the mathematics in this book difficult, but the free program will take your pain away and do all the calculations. You can simply apply all the professional formulae by no more than a click, and pick your horses like an expert analyst.
As an awardee in Asian-Pacific Mathematics Olympiad, the author abandoned his career as an actuary and became a key member in a gambling syndicate. This book was reprinted in the 4th edition in Hong Kong, ranked #2 in the best-selling chart in the international Chinese weekly Yazhou Zhoukan, and now available worldwide.
- Sales Rank: #1002118 in Books
- Brand: Brand: Outskirts Press
- Published on: 2011-03-28
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 6.14" h x .69" w x 9.21" l, 1.26 pounds
- Binding: Hardcover
- 282 pages
- Used Book in Good Condition
Most helpful customer reviews
19 of 19 people found the following review helpful.
This is a Hard Read
By JJohns
This book is a hard read. First, it was originally written in Chinese and it is clear that the translator's first language is not English, because the grammar is incorrect in places. Next, it is written at above high school reading level and covers statistics formulas that can be difficult to understand at first (at least they were for me). However, I believe this can be a very valuable resource. If you already have an understanding of handicapping and are willing to do the work to learn the statistical formulas presented in the book, then I believe you can wager profitably at the racetrack.
If you are looking for a book to teach you handicapping skills, then this book is not for you. However, if you already have a good knowledge of handicapping and are looking for something to help your wagering become profitable, then perhaps you should give this book a look.
6 of 6 people found the following review helpful.
This is a very good horse handicapping book
By Tiger of Happy Valley
I always want to find a book which talks about horse handicapping from a mathematical point of view and now I have found it. This book mainly talks about how we can use statistical and mathematical methods to calculate, inter alia, expected value of each horse and therefore probability and ultimately how much we should bet by using Kelly Criterion. The author has tried his best to explain the methods in a simple way but I still find them a bit difficult because my mathematics is only up to O level (and therefore I do not know concepts such as differentiation). Anyway, most readers should be able to understand the concept and logic behind each method. The author also allows the readers to download his spreadsheets from his website and so readers can actually look into the formulas and understand what each model is doing. The only defect in this book is that Kelly Criterion is not explained although it is not a problem for me and some experienced horse handicappers.
2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
If you love math, you will love this book ! Awesome value !
By Rafael S.
This is by far, the most complete and explanatory book on horse racing that I have read !
If others fall short on explaining systems, methodology and handicapping how to races, this book in excess explanatory !
The multiple excel sheets that you download with all the calculations programmed, and that are ready to use as a handicapping tool, are a great value added !
Great value, well worth the price !
RS
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